14 May
14May

🔹 SPY (S&P 500 ETF)

Call: ⚠️ Short-Term Overbought – Cautiously BearishTechnical Breakdown:

  • Riding upper Bollinger Band → extension risk
  • RSI: Approaching overbought (>70)
  • MACD: Positive, but extended → momentum fading
  • Volume: Weak on rally = classic divergence setup

Outlook:

  • Market extended with soft internals — high risk of pullback or stall
  • 575–580 = resistance zone

📈 Option Trade Ideas:

  1. Directional Bearish Play:
    • Buy SPY Jun 21st $575 Puts (slightly OTM)
  2. Limited-Risk Bear Spread:
    • Buy $580 Put / Sell $570 Put
    • Targeting 2–3 week correction

🔹 USO (United States Oil Fund)

Call: 🟢 Early Bullish Reversal FormingTechnical Breakdown:

  • MACD: Fresh bullish crossover
  • RSI: Trending upward from neutral zone
  • Structure: Improving — potential gap fill to $72–74
  • Volume: Modest but constructive

Outlook:

  • If momentum holds, breakout move into $70–74 range is likely

📈 Option Trade Ideas:

  1. Long Call:
    • Buy USO Jun 21st $70 Call
  2. Call Debit Spread:
    • Buy $68 Call / Sell $72 Call
    • Target breakout within 1–2 weeks

🔹 GLD (Gold ETF)

Call: 🟡 Bullish (Long-Term), Short-Term Pullback ActiveTechnical Breakdown:

  • Trend: Strong uptrend intact
  • MACD: Curling down → short-term consolidation
  • RSI: Softening off overbought
  • Holding the 50-day MA = structural support intact

Outlook:

  • Healthy reset within a longer-term bull cycle
  • Ideal for staged re-entry on weakness

📈 Option Trade Ideas:

  1. Sell Puts at Support (Aggressive Buyers):
    • Sell GLD $295/$290 Put Credit Spread (June expiry)
  2. Long-Term Bull Reentry:
    • Buy Aug 16th $300/$320 Call Spread

🔹 Bitcoin (BTC/USD)

Call:Bullish ContinuationStructure:

  • Higher lows + strong breakout volume
  • Holding gains above $104K with consolidation = bullish continuation

Outlook:

  • High probability of $110K test in coming sessions
  • Short-to-Medium Term Bias: Bullish

Confirmation Levels:

  • Above $106.4K → breakout acceleration likely

🔹 XRP (Ripple)

Call:Bullish Recovery – Breakout Setup FormingTechnical Breakdown:

  • Momentum building post-selloff
  • Consolidating in a tight flag just below key resistance
  • MACD and RSI supportive of next leg higher

Outlook:

  • Short-Term: Breakout likely above $2.44
  • Long-Term: Bias remains bullish toward $2.65–2.80
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