30 Apr
30Apr

πŸ”Ή SPY (S&P 500 ETF)

Tactical Call:Cautiously Bullish→ Momentum Indicators:

  • RSI: Approaching 60 β€” climbing, not yet overbought
  • MACD: Confirmed bullish crossover, histogram rising

β†’ Tactical Take:

  • This is a relief rally within a larger downtrend
  • Key resistance ahead: 550–560 zone
  • Bull confirmation only comes with breakout above 565 + volume

β†’ Short-Term Options Ideas:

  • βœ… Bullish Setup (defined risk):
    • May 10th 555c/565c Bull Call Spread β€” play the push, cap risk if breakout fails
  • πŸ”» Bearish Setup (if rejection):
    • May 10th 560p/550p Bear Put Spread β€” activate if price stalls at 560, especially with rising VIX or weak breadth

πŸ”Ή USO (United States Oil Fund)

Tactical Call:Short-Term Bearish→ Momentum Indicators:

  • RSI: Rolling over from ~50 β†’ loss of bullish momentum
  • MACD: Bearish crossover confirmed

β†’ Tactical Take:

  • Failed breakout attempt
  • Oil may continue drifting lower β†’ possible test of $64
  • Easing supply fears + stronger dollar = pressure on price

β†’ Short-Term Options Ideas:

  • πŸ”» Bear Put Spread (defined risk):
    • May 10th 67p/64p β€” cheap risk profile, aligns with breakdown
  • 🐻 Aggressive Bear Setup:
    • Straight May 67 Puts β€” direct play if crude drops under $66

πŸ”Ή GLD (Gold ETF)

Tactical Call:Bullish Momentum Intact→ Momentum Indicators:

  • RSI: ~65–70 β†’ strong but not overheated
  • MACD: Bullish and widening

β†’ Tactical Take:

  • Trend remains strong β†’ dips being bought aggressively
  • Drivers: inflation fear + dollar weakness + global uncertainty

β†’ Short-Term Options Idea:

  • βœ… Bull Call Spread:
    • May 10th 305c/315c β€” ride momentum, with defined upside risk

πŸ”Ή Bitcoin (BTC)

Tactical Call:Bullish→ Trend Overview:

  • Rebounded strongly from April lows (~$76K)
  • Currently trading around $94,000
  • Broke out from a 4-month falling wedge
  • Closed above 200-day moving average = major technical signal

β†’ Momentum Indicators:

  • RSI: Above 50 β†’ bullish zone

β†’ Outlook:

  • Momentum is strengthening β†’ confirmed bullish structure
  • Next key resistance lies around $97K–$100K

πŸ”Ή XRP (Ripple)

Tactical Call:Bullish with Caution→ Trend Overview:

  • Holding firm despite broader market volatility
  • Structure remains intact β†’ slow recovery in progress

β†’ Outlook:

  • No explosive volume yet, but signs of resilience
  • Needs clean break above resistance to shift fully bullish
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