04 Jun
04Jun

🔹 SPY (S&P 500 ETF)

Call: ⚠️ Bullish Bias – But Stretched and VulnerableTechnical Context:

  • MACD: Still bullish but flattening – early warning of trend fatigue
  • RSI: 65–70 = overbought territory
  • Volume: Weak → rally lacks strong conviction
  • Resistance: Near 600–602 → key breakout level

📈 Trade Setups:

  • 🛡️ Cautious Bulls: Tight stop near 585 to protect long exposure
  • 🔻 Bearish Pullback Play:
    • Buy SPY $600 Put, sell $580 Put (Put Spread)
    • Expiry: 2–3 weeks
  • 📈 Bull Breakout Trade:
    • Buy SPY Calls or Call Spread only if close above 602 with volume
    • Target: 620

🔹 USO (United States Oil Fund)

Call: ⚖️ Neutral-to-Bullish – Breakout WatchTechnical Context:

  • Price coiling under key resistance
  • MACD: Just turned bullish
  • RSI: ~53 → balanced momentum with room to move
  • Volume: Slight uptick, needs confirmation

📈 Trade Setup:

  • Breakout Strategy:
    • Buy USO Calls or Call Spreads on breakout above local resistance
    • Watch for strong candle + follow-through

🔹 GLD (Gold ETF)

Call:Bullish Continuation – Strong Base FormingTechnical Context:

  • Holding 18-day SMA
  • MACD: Near bullish crossover again
  • Volume: Consistent and healthy → no signs of distribution
  • Pattern favors continuation toward recent highs

📈 Trade Setup:

  • Bull Call Spread (Vertical):
    • Entry: GLD near $305–307
    • Buy GLD $305 Call, Sell $320 Call
    • Target Zone: $320–$325

🔹 Bitcoin (BTC/USD)

Call:BULLISH – Accumulation Holding Above Key LevelsTechnical Context:

  • Structure: Higher lows intact, clean breakout structure
  • Volume: Reflects accumulation, not distribution
  • Holding $100K = strong signal

Outlook:

  • Above $100K = base forming for next wave
  • Target Zone: $115K–$120K if momentum continues

🔹 XRP (Ripple)

Call: ⚖️ Bullish Macro – Flat Short-TermTechnical Context:

  • Consolidating → no breakdown
  • Macro structure: Still strong
  • Volume stable, holding gains after prior run

Outlook:

  • 📊 Watch for breakout from sideways structure
  • Macro remains bullish – short-term movement likely triggered by broader crypto or regulatory catalyst
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