๐ S&P 500 / SPY (Ticker: $SPY)
- Trend: Holding strong above 9- and 18-day SMAs, riding the upper Bollinger Band โ classic bullish structure.
- MACD: Still positive, but momentum is flattening โ potential early stall.
- RSI: Near 70 (overbought zone) โ no divergence yet, but caution warranted.
- Volume: Low on the last push โ signals weakening conviction.
๐ Call: โ ๏ธ Cautiously Bullish โ momentum intact, but near exhaustion.๐ก Trade Ideas:
- Breakout Play: Buy $SPY 610/615 Call Spread (2โ3 weeks out) if breakout >610 confirmed with volume.
- Hedge: Buy $SPY 590/580 Put Spread as protection against a pullback.
๐ข๏ธ US Oil Fund / USO (Ticker: $USO)
- Trend: Strong breakout from a multi-month range. Above 9/18 SMAs.
- MACD: Bullish crossover with rising momentum.
- RSI: Above 70, but trend-confirming โ no divergence yet.
- Volume: Rising โ breakout confirmed by participation.
๐ Call: โ
Bullish โ breakout strength confirmed.๐ก Trade Ideas:
- Momentum Play: Buy $USO 75/80 Call Spread (3โ4 weeks out).
- Aggressive: Buy $USO 76 or 77 Calls (short-term straight call).
- Caution: RSI extended โ watch for topping candles near $78โ$80.
๐ช Gold ETF / GLD (Ticker: $GLD)
- Trend: Consolidating in a high base after strong rally. Price holding above short-term moving averages.
- MACD: Flat โ neutral momentum.
- RSI: Neutral to slightly bullish โ healthy reset.
- Volume: Stable โ no sign of distribution.
๐ Call: ๐จ Neutral to Bullish โ breakout potential building.๐ก Trade Ideas:
- Breakout Setup: Buy $GLD 310/320 Call Spread (4โ6 weeks out) if break above 315 occurs with volume.
- Value Entry: Sell $GLD 300 Puts (cash secured) to accumulate near key support.
โฟ Bitcoin (Ticker: $BTCUSD)
- Trend: Strong stair-step uptrend with higher highs and higher lows.
- Structure: Accumulation pattern, not blow-off โ bullish posture.
- Momentum: Intact, no sign of reversal.
๐ Call: โ
Bullish โ trend intact, next target: $115Kโ$120K.
๐ Ripple / XRP (Ticker: $XRPUSD)
- Trend: Consolidating around $2.29.
- Volume: Light, but no distribution โ healthy digestion phase.
- Structure: Still looks constructive.
๐ Call: โ
Bullish in consolidation โ breakout potential if $2.80โ$3.00 clears.